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<channel>
	<title>The Channel Checkers</title>
	<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com</link>
	<description>Institutionalized, large scale channel checks for fundamental stock research</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jan 2012 20:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
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	<language>en</language>
			<item>
		<title>Research For Today&#8217;s Market</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/11/research-for-todays-market/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/11/research-for-todays-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Nov 2010 19:31:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[General Site News]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/11/research-for-todays-market/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I want to provide some information on the view from The Channel Checkers on the current news about insider trading probes and other collateral &#8220;crimes&#8221; being discussed in the media.  We believe that many do not fundamentally appreciate what &#8220;research&#8221; is compared to &#8220;insider information&#8221;.  Our view is that Regulation FD and the Mosaic [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I want to provide some information on the view from The Channel Checkers on the current news about insider trading probes and other collateral &#8220;crimes&#8221; being discussed in the media.  We believe that many do not fundamentally appreciate what &#8220;research&#8221; is compared to &#8220;insider information&#8221;.  Our view is that Regulation FD and the Mosaic Theory both say that material inside information from a company is not legal, while collecting many points of information, all of which are non-material by themselves, and creating a mass of data to draw a &#8220;material&#8221; conclusion about a company or security is legal.  Here is a quote from a speech on the topic of research from the SEC:</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0.2in"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica"><font size="2">The ICI, in particular, urged the Commission to reaffirm the core principles of the mosaic theory -<a href="http://www.sec.gov/news/speech/spch444.htm"> under which an analyst can assemble pieces of non-public and immaterial information into a mosaic that reveals a material conclusion. </a>I hope that the Commission&#8217;s adopting release couldn&#8217;t be clearer on this point. We did, of course, make clear that we wanted to keep a clear path for <em>analysis</em> while blocking the path to the practice of distributing material nonpublic information to a favored few.</font></font></p>
<p>The Channel Checkers is in the business of collecting large amounts of immaterial information that we believe our clients can add to their mosaics to help them draw better more meaningful investment conclusions.  We do five things that make us unique when compared to expert networks and other independent research firms:  1. We never pay anybody for information (experts are paid)  2. We never contact or speak to high level personnel.  All our contacts are with frontline field workers who do not hold material information.  3. We do not catalog our channel check respondents meaning we do not build recurring information connections.  We capture random connections with people, boosting the immateriality of each individual connection we make.  4. We do not offer investment opinions to clients.  We intentionally ask our clients to not even tell us what purspose our channel checking data will be used for.  5. 100% transaprency.  We allow clients to dictate where, when and how we collect our data.  We believe that large scale, low level channel checks meet the demands of Regulation FD while also providing strong insight into business trends in the real economy.  We believe that by collecting large amounts of immaterial information, better investment decisions can be reached, without legal risks that are sometimes required when utilizing other forms of investment research.  Please take this posting as an invitation to reach to me or our team to have a discussion about our methods for research or for ideas on how to accomplish your research objectives in light of current events.  Thank you.  Casey Ryan  Managing Partner  The Channel Checkers  415.786.2607</p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Domino&#8217;s Strength in April Looks Muted</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/dominos-strength-in-april-looks-muted/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/dominos-strength-in-april-looks-muted/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 22:25:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Restaurants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/dominos-strength-in-april-looks-muted/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In April, we surveyed 23 Domino&#8217;s Pizza locations to store employees about sales trends, top selling pizza specials, and competitors to Domino&#8217;s. The survey asked the following questions:


What is the most popular pizza deal right now?


Are you busier, slower, the same as last month?


Who is your primary competition?




65%% of respondents said that the two medium [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In April, we surveyed 23 Domino&#8217;s Pizza locations to store employees about sales trends, top selling pizza specials, and competitors to Domino&#8217;s. The survey asked the following questions:</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">What is the most popular pizza deal right now?</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">Are you busier, slower, the same as last month?</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">Who is your primary competition?</p>
</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">65%% of respondents said that the two medium pizzas with 2 toppings for $5.99 deal was the top deal at Domino&#8217;s in April. 9% cited the older 5-5-5 deal.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">48% of respondents reported that their location was busier in April than in March. However, 43% reported having the same level of activity while 9% said business was slower in April.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">48% of respondents felt that Pizza Hut was their primary competitor. This is a similar result to what we saw with our recent Papa John&#8217;s survey. 22% view Papa John&#8217;s as its primary competitor while 17% viewed local pizza operators as their primary competition.</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">Conclusion of Channel Check: Domino&#8217;s shows solid demand trends and consistent competitive viewpoints to that of Papa John&#8217;s. However compared to casual dining where an uptick in demand is clearly discernible it appears that the consumer is not ramping its delivery pizza deliveries in April.</p>
<p>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>True Religion Brand Strong, Overall Denim Market Looks Less Robust Then General Retail</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/true-religion-brand-strong-overall-denim-market-looks-less-robust-then-general-retail/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/true-religion-brand-strong-overall-denim-market-looks-less-robust-then-general-retail/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 May 2010 22:08:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Retail]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/05/true-religion-brand-strong-overall-denim-market-looks-less-robust-then-general-retail/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ In April, we surveyed 22 department stores and jean stores to survey the store employees about sales trends, top selling brands and challenges in the high end denim market. The survey asked the following questions.
&#160;


How well are high end jeans selling right now? 


What brand of jeans would you NOT recommend, why? 


What is the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> <font face="Arial, sans-serif">In April, we surveyed 22 department stores and jean stores to survey the store employees about sales trends, top selling brands and challenges in the high end denim market. The survey asked the following questions.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">How well are high end jeans selling right now? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What brand of jeans would you NOT recommend, why? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the best selling brand of high end jeans?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is your opinion of True Religion jeans?</font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">36% of respondents said that sales of high end denim jeans was “above average” in April. 14% said sales were below average and another 32% said sales were simply average, a response we view as a negative trend point. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Levi&#8217;s and Lee&#8217;s were cited as brands that the store employees we spoke with would not recommend. These brands were cited as being “plain”, not having enough fit options and store employees noted that other brands were simply superior to these two main line brands. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">7 for All Mankind was seen as the top selling brand of jeans by 27% of respondents. 18% saw True Religion as the top selling brand.</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">23% of respondents saw True Religion jeans as being too expensive on the negative side while many others talked up the brands durability, high fashion image and fit options. </font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">True Religion jeans were recommended well in our survey as they have been in many of our efforts in the high end denim space. The one element of potential concern is that overall the perception of high end jean sales is lagging the broader retail space we cover. Additionally the concern on price of True Religion jeans suggests the competing brands may be offering similar value at lower price points in the department store sales channel. </span></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></font></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Papa Johns Sees $10 and $12 Deals Moving Pies in April</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/04/papa-johns-sees-10-and-12-deals-moving-pies-in-april/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/04/papa-johns-sees-10-and-12-deals-moving-pies-in-april/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2010 22:13:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Restaurants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/04/papa-johns-sees-10-and-12-deals-moving-pies-in-april/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In April, we surveyed 28 Papa Johns locations about sales trends, top selling items and pricing for pizza in the U.S. The survey asked the following questions.
1. What is the most popular pizza deal right now? 
2. Are you busier, less busy or the same as last month?
3. Who is your primary competition?
&#160;


43% of respondents [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font face="Arial, sans-serif">In April, we surveyed 28 Papa Johns locations about sales trends, top selling items and pricing for pizza in the U.S. The survey asked the following questions.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">1. What is the most popular pizza deal right now? </font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">2. Are you busier, less busy or the same as last month?</font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">3. Who is your primary competition?</font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">43% of respondents said that the XL 4 topping pizza for $11.99 was the top pizza deal right now. 36% said that the $10 for any large pizza was the best deal currently. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">42% of respondents said that their Papa Johns location was busier in April as compared to March. 29% said that business levels were the same in April as in March, while 29% said their location was slower in April. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">50% of respondents said that Pizza Hut was their primary competition. 29% cited Dominos, while 21% said that a local competitor was the primary threat to Papa Johns. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-indent: -0.25in; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">Papa Johns low priced deals appear to be getting good uptake by the market. Despite the deals, the business trend with 43% citing improved business in April is weaker than some other restaurant surveys we have completed in April. Pizza Hut remains the perceived primary competition by Papa Johns employees. </span></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>California Pizza Sees Average Check at $36, Traffic Trends Up Modestly in February</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/california-pizza-sees-average-check-at-36-traffic-trends-up-modestly-in-february/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/california-pizza-sees-average-check-at-36-traffic-trends-up-modestly-in-february/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 06:41:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Restaurants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/california-pizza-sees-average-check-at-36-traffic-trends-up-modestly-in-february/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the past week, we surveyed California Pizza Kitchen locations to gauge trends in wait times, average billing and most popular menu items We asked the following questions:
     


Why do people eat here?


How is business compared to last month?


What is the most popular item on the menu?


What is the average bill for a party of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">Over the past week, we surveyed California Pizza Kitchen locations to gauge trends in wait times, average billing and most popular menu items We asked the following questions:</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">     </font></font></p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">Why do people eat here?</font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">How is business compared to last month?</font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">What is the most popular item on the menu?</font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">What is the average bill for a party of two? </font></font></p>
</li>
</ol>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">38% of respondents said that “atmosphere” was the reason that many customers came to CPKI. 25% said the menu was the key driver. 25% said they believed a combination of menu, atmosphere, location and prices.</font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">42% of respondents reported that business in February was better than in January. 33% reported business was the same and 21% reported that business was slower. </font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">The most popular menu item was the Original BBQ Chicken pizza according to 46% of respondents. 13% of respondents cited the Buffalo Chicken Pizza. </font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3">The average bill was reported as being $36.70 for a party of two with responses ranging from $12 to $75.</font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong>Based on the survey, the activity level at California Pizza Kitchen appears favorable, however the trends are less positive than recent survey data we found on the Cheesecake Factory.</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Ann Dykes at 978-358-7809 or ann@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Cheesecake Factory Survey Shows Wait Times, Traffic Levels Solid, Average Check $49.</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/cheesecake-factory-survey-shows-wait-times-traffic-levels-solid-average-check-49/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/cheesecake-factory-survey-shows-wait-times-traffic-levels-solid-average-check-49/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Feb 2010 00:34:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Restaurants]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2010/02/cheesecake-factory-survey-shows-wait-times-traffic-levels-solid-average-check-49/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Over the past week, we surveyed various Cheese Cake Factory locations to gauge trends in wait times, average billing and most popular menu items  We asked the following questions:
1.What is the average wait time for a party of two?
2.What is the average bill for  a party of two?
3.What is the most popular menu [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the past week, we surveyed various Cheese Cake Factory locations to gauge trends in wait times, average billing and most popular menu items  We asked the following questions:</p>
<p>1.What is the average wait time for a party of two?<br />
2.What is the average bill for  a party of two?<br />
3.What is the most popular menu item?<br />
4.Was this location busier this month than in January? </p>
<p>62% of respondents said that wait times ranged from 5 minutes to 15 minutes. 22% of respondents reported wait times of 20 minutes to 30 minutes while 13% of respondents reported now wait time at all.<br />
The average bill was reported as being $49 for a party of two with responses ranging from $25 to $80.<br />
The most popular items unsurprisingly was listed as Cheesecake by 39% of respondents.  Respondents stated that customers order cheesecake 61% of the time they eat at the restaurant.<br />
72% of respondents reported that their location was busier in February versus January. 24% reported that their locations was slower while 4% said that business was the same in February as in January. </p>
<p>Conclusion of Channel Check:  Based on the survey, the activity level at Cheesecake Factory locations appears to be increasing.  Average check size remains a little lower than what we might expect to see in a very strong environment but wait times and traffic levels look solid. </p>
<p>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Kohl&#8217;s Working Off Inventory, Economy Impacting Business Still</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/kohls-working-off-summer-inventory-economy-impacting-business-still/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/kohls-working-off-summer-inventory-economy-impacting-business-still/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 23:58:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Retail]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/kohls-working-off-summer-inventory-economy-impacting-business-still/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In late September and early October, we surveyed 20 Kohls locations and asked about the business activity level, inventories and best selling items. The survey asked the following questions.
&#160;
&#160;


How well is business today at your store? 


Do you have excess inventory of any product or brand that will go on discount soon? 


Do you think [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font face="Arial, sans-serif">In late September and early October, we surveyed 20 Kohls locations and asked about the business activity level, inventories and best selling items. The survey asked the following questions.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">How well is business today at your store? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Do you have excess inventory of any product or brand that will go on discount soon? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Do you think the weak housing market and economy are hurting business at your store?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the top selling brand of women&#8217;s clothing at your store?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ol>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">37% of respondents described business at their store as “above average”. 63% saw business as “average”. 10% saw business as ”below average”. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">90% of respondents cited having some excess inventory, although the bulk of these cited summer and seasonal items. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">74% of respondents do believe that the economy and weak housing market are negatively impacting sales at their store. 11% said that the housing market and weak economy are not hurting sales. 15% were unsure of the impact of the broader economy or housing market.</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Sonoma and Apartment 9 were seen as the top selling women&#8217;s brand by 25% of respondents each. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">Sales trend look mildly positive at Kohls.</span></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong> </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">Excess inventory results are high by historical standards across our retail surveys. Concern over the economy and weak housing market are higher than expected. Top selling brands such as Apartment 9 are consistently near the top of Kohls sales of women&#8217;s apparel. </span></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></font></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Harley Dealers See Business Mixed in September and October</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/harley-dealers-see-business-mixed-in-september-and-october/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/harley-dealers-see-business-mixed-in-september-and-october/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 22:11:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Autos]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/harley-dealers-see-business-mixed-in-september-and-october/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In late September and early October, we surveyed 23 Harley dealerships about sales trends, stocking and pricing for Harley motorcycles in the U.S. The survey asked the following questions.
&#160;
&#160;


What is the best selling motorcylce right now? 


Are you sold out of any models currently?


How is business compared to this time last year?


Has business picked up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font face="Arial, sans-serif">In late September and early October, we surveyed 23 Harley dealerships about sales trends, stocking and pricing for Harley motorcycles in the U.S. The survey asked the following questions.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the best selling motorcylce right now? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Are you sold out of any models currently?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">How is business compared to this time last year?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Has business picked up in the past month?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ol>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.25in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">26% of respondents said that either the Street Glide or Electra Glide was the best selling model. 17% said that the Sportster was the best selling line. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Over 70% of respondents said they were not sold out of any models. The remainder cited 2009 Sportsters specifically, but said they had stock of 2010 Sportster models. The Street Glide was cited as being sold out at one dealer while another cited the FLHR Road King. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">57% of respondents said that business was the same as a year ago. 26% said business was better than last year. 17% said business was worse than last year. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">43% of respondents stated that business was improving in the past month, while 57% said that business had not improved. Cash for clunkers was cited as a negative drawing business away in July and August. Anectdotally, one dealer reported being closed for a week on a temporary basis in September. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-indent: -0.25in; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">Harley dealers appear to be reporting stable business conditions across the board with some signs of improvement offset by a general report of flat sales compared to last year and to the previous few months. </span></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Verizon Sees an Uptick, Blackberry Leads Sales of Hardware</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/verizon-sees-an-uptick-blackberry-leads-sales-of-hardware/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/verizon-sees-an-uptick-blackberry-leads-sales-of-hardware/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Oct 2009 22:09:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Cell Phones]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/10/verizon-sees-an-uptick-blackberry-leads-sales-of-hardware/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In late September and early October, we surveyed 19 Verizon wireless locations and asked about the best selling devices for key applications (like music and e-mail). The survey asked the following questions.
&#160;
&#160;


What is the best selling mobile phone right now? 


What is the best device to get for e-mail?


What is the best device to get [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="margin-bottom: 0in"><font face="Arial, sans-serif">In late September and early October, we surveyed 19 Verizon wireless locations and asked about the best selling devices for key applications (like music and e-mail). The survey asked the following questions.</font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the best selling mobile phone right now? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the best device to get for e-mail?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">What is the best device to get for music? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">Has there been an increase in the number of people buying new phones or upgrading their accounts in the past month? </font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ol>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">53% of respondents said that a Blackberry device was the best selling device at their location. 16% cited an LG model while another 16% cited a Samsung model. HTC and Motorola phones were cited as well. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">68% respondents cited Blackberry models when asked which device was the best for e-mail. LG again scored a number two spot with 16% of respondents. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">LG was the top brand recommended for music with over 35% of respondents recommending an LG model as tops of music. Samsung was second with over 25% of respondents citing it as a the best model/brand for music.</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3">79% of respondents reported that they are seeing increased new account openings or upgrades from customers in the past month. 21% of respondents say they are not seeing an increase in these categories. </font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="text-indent: -0.25in; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="text-indent: -0.25in; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><strong>Conclusion of Channel Check: </strong></span></font></font></font><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><span lang="en-US"><span style="font-weight: normal">New accounts and upgrades of existing plans appear to be picking up at Verizon stores in September and October. Research In Motion&#8217;s Balckberry line of mobile devices appears to be the best selling at Verizon. Samsung and LG look strong in the music focused segments and also run distant number 2 and 3 respectively in the e-mail and best selling categories. Verizon looks focused on hardware ASP&#8217;s as all three of these top vendors offer a wide range of mid-priced to lower priced devices to Verizon&#8217;s customer base.</span></span></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Lululemon Store Trends Look Solid in Past Few Weeks</title>
		<link>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/08/lululemon-store-trends-look-solid-in-past-few-weeks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/08/lululemon-store-trends-look-solid-in-past-few-weeks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2009 19:34:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Casey</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Retail]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.thechannelcheckers.com/2009/08/lululemon-store-trends-look-solid-in-past-few-weeks/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Earlier this month we surveyed several Lululemon Athletica locations across the US to gauge trends in performance. We asked the following questions:
&#160;


How much does the average customer spend per visit?


What % of customers are repeat customers?


What is the top selling item right now?


Do you have trouble keeping the most popular items in stock?


&#160;

&#160;

77% of respondents [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">Earlier this month we surveyed several Lululemon Athletica locations across the US to gauge trends in performance. We asked the following questions:</font></font></font></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">How much does the average customer spend per visit?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">What % of customers are repeat customers?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">What is the top selling item right now?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">Do you have trouble keeping the most popular items in stock?</font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ol>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<ul>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">77% of respondents said the average customer spend between $50 and $150 dollars. We believe the average purchase is right around $100 per customer. 12% said customers spend less than $50 on average, while 8% said they spend over $150 per visit.</font></font></font></p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">31% of respondents report that around ¼ of all customers are repeat customers. The remaining 69% report that half or more of customers are repeat buyers of Lululemon clothing. </font></font></font></p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">Tank tops and shirts for women are the best selling item according to 23% of respondents. 19% report that pants are the top selling item.</font></font></font></p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3">77% of respondents say that they have no trouble keeping top selling items in stock. 15% report that they do have some challenges in keeping popular items in stock. While a small number, this small stock-out problem seems positive in the current retail environment.</font></font></font></p>
</li>
</ul>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in; margin-left: 0.5in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in"><font face="Cambria, Times New Roman, serif"><span lang="en-US"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font color="#000000"><strong>Conclusion of the Channel Checkers: </strong><span>Lululemon appears to be maintaining strong store fundamentals including solid average tickets for each customer and strong repeat buyer business. Top items are not in short supply but our report does suggest some tightness for top items may be beginning to appear suggesting demand may be improving for Lululemon clothing. </span></font></font></font></span></font></p>
<p style="widows: 2; orphans: 2; margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US">&nbsp;</p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in" lang="en-US" align="center"><font color="#000000"><font face="Arial, sans-serif"><font style="font-size: 13pt" size="3"><em><strong>For access to the underlying survey or for more information, please contact Jason Katz at 415.867.0959 or jason@thechannelcheckers.com</strong></em></font></font></font></p>
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